Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000257 0.000288 0.000322 0.000361 0.000405 0.000454 0.000511
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000207 0.000253 0.000307 0.000376 0.000463 0.000567 0.000702
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000168 0.000219 0.000283 0.000370 0.000487 0.000639 0.000853
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000143 0.000196 0.000267 0.000369 0.000514 0.000713 0.001012
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000123 0.000176 0.000250 0.000362 0.000528 0.000769 0.001151
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000111 0.000165 0.000243 0.000366 0.000558 0.000850 0.001336
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000155 0.000236 0.000369 0.000585 0.000928 0.001525
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000139 0.000218 0.000353 0.000579 0.000952 0.001627
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000132 0.000213 0.000355 0.000602 0.001025 0.001822
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000129 0.000215 0.000370 0.000650 0.001145 0.002118
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000120 0.000205 0.000362 0.000655 0.001191 0.002280
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000109 0.000190 0.000345 0.000640 0.001197 0.002366
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000105 0.000187 0.000349 0.000668 0.001290 0.002645
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000104 0.000191 0.000366 0.000722 0.001441 0.003072
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000097 0.000183 0.000360 0.000731 0.001504 0.003317
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000093 0.000178 0.000359 0.000750 0.001588 0.003625
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000087 0.000170 0.000352 0.000754 0.001641 0.003866
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000084 0.000168 0.000356 0.000784 0.001755 0.004276
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000081 0.000166 0.000359 0.000810 0.001866 0.004694
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000075 0.000155 0.000343 0.000791 0.001866 0.004826
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000153 0.000345 0.000815 0.001971 0.005257
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000156 0.000360 0.000872 0.002171 0.005984
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000068 0.000150 0.000352 0.000872 0.002223 0.006299